FAPRI-MU Baseline Outlook

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2018

September 28, 2018

Baseline Update for International Livestock Markets

FAPRI-MU Report #04-18: 2018 is expected to see record levels of meat trade. The decrease in feed prices from peaks around 2012 has fueled an expansion in the meat sector in the major producing parts of the globe. Demand has also been strong as a result of rising global incomes and population growth.


September 18, 2018

Baseline Update for U.S. Farm Income and the Farm Balance Sheet

FAPRI-MU Bulletin #03-18: Net farm income is projected to decline in 2018 and 2019 before recovering in later years. The farm debt/asset ratio continues to increase.


August 31, 2018

2018 August Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets

FAPRI-MU Report #03-18 provides an update of the 2018 FAPRI-MU long-term baseline to reflect information available in mid-August 2018. Microsoft Excel tables are included for your convenience.

(more…)


May 30, 2018

2018 International Biofuels Baseline Briefing Book

FAPRI-MU Report #02-18: Biofuel markets continue to be sensitive to changes in farm commodity markets, petroleum markets, and biofuel policies. Stronger ethanol prices are expected in the coming years, while the biodiesel price is expected to follow vegetable oil prices and remain flatter over the projection period. The biofuel market projections reported here are based on the March 2018 outlook for world agricultural commodity markets developed by analysts FAPRI-MU and collaborating institutions.


March 08, 2018

2018 U.S. Baseline Outlook

FAPRI-MU Report #01-18 presents a summary of 10-year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income and a variety of other indicators. Microsoft Excel tables include historical data for crops, biofuels and aggregate indicators.

Please see the press release. (more…)


2017

September 25, 2017

International Biofuels Baseline Update

FAPRI-MU Report #04-17: This report provides an update to the 2017 International Biofuels Baseline, and the projections reported here are based on the FAPRI 2017 Baseline Update.


August 30, 2017

Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets

FAPRI-MU Report #03-17 provides an update of the 2017 FAPRI-MU long-term baseline to reflect information available in mid-August 2017. Microsoft Excel tables include historical data for crops, biofuels and aggregate indicators.

(more…)


May 30, 2017

2017 International Biofuels Baseline Briefing Book

Biofuel markets continue to be sensitive to changes in agricultural commodity markets, petroleum markets, and biofuel policies. The biofuel market projections reported here are based on the FAPRI-MU March 2017 outlook for world agricultural commodity markets.


March 13, 2017

2017 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

FAPRI-MU Report #01-17 presents a summary of 10-year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income and a variety of other indicators. Microsoft Excel tables include historical data for crops, biofuels and aggregate indicators.

Please see the press release. (more…)


2016

August 31, 2016

Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets

Increases in production result in continued downward pressure on prices for most crop and livestock commodities in 2016. FAPRI-MU Report #05-16 provides an update of the 2016 FAPRI-MU long-term baseline to reflect information available in mid-August 2016. Microsoft Excel tables include historical data for crops, biofuels and aggregate indicators.

(more…)


May 02, 2016

April 2016 U.S. Crop Price Update

FAPRI-MU Bulletin #02-16: This crop price update of the 2016 baseline outlook incorporates recent market developments and other information available in April 2016.

The Microsoft Excel tables report projected U.S. supply and use for six major crops.


April 21, 2016

International Biofuels Baseline Briefing Book

FAPRI-MU Report #03-16: This report presents the international baseline 10-year projections for the international biofuels market.


March 10, 2016

2016 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

FAPRI-MU Report #02-16 presents a summary of 10-year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income and a variety of other indicators. Microsoft Excel tables include historical data for crops, biofuels and aggregate indicators.

Please see the MU Cooperative Media Group’s press release. (more…)


2015

September 01, 2015

August 2015 Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets

FAPRI-MU Report #03-15: This report serves as a mid-year update to the 2015 baseline prepared in January 2015. It reflects market developments and incorporates information available in early August 2015.


April 14, 2015

April 2015 U.S. Crop Price Update

FAPRI-MU Bulletin #08-15: This monthly update of FAPRI-MU crop price projections reflects information available in mid-April 2015. April 2015 U.S. Crop Price Update: supply and use tables and prices for U.S. crops.


March 27, 2015

Impacts of the U.S.-Mexico Antidumping and Countervailing Duty Suspension Agreement

FAPRI-MU Bulletin #07-15: This FAPRI-MU bulletin explores how the recent agreement between the U.S. and Mexico regarding sugar trade could have an effect on the likelihood of potential sugar program payments under the farm bill.


March 16, 2015

March 2015 U.S. Crop Price Update

FAPRI-MU Bulletin #06-15: This monthly update of FAPRI-MU crop price projections reflects information available in mid-March 2015. Microsoft Excel March 2015 Tables: supply and use tables and prices for U.S. crops.


March 09, 2015

2015 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

FAPRI-MU Report #01-15 presents a summary of 10-year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income and a variety of other indicators. Microsoft Excel tables include historical data for crops, biofuels and aggregate indicators. (more…)


February 17, 2015

February 2015 U.S. Crop Price Update

FAPRI-MU Bulletin #03-15: This monthly update of FAPRI-MU crop price projections reflects information available in mid-February 2015. Microsoft Excel February 2015 Tables: supply and use tables and prices for U.S. crops.


January 16, 2015

January 2015 U.S. Crop Price Update

This monthly update of FAPRI-MU crop price projections reflects information available in mid-January 2015. Microsoft Excel January 2015 Tables: supply and use tables and prices for U.S. crops.


2014

December 12, 2014

December 2014 U.S. Crop Price Update

This monthly update of FAPRI-MU crop price projections reflects information available in mid-December 2014. Microsoft Excel December 2014 Tables: including supply and use tables and prices for U.S. crops.


November 17, 2014

November 2014 U.S. Crop Price Update

This monthly update of FAPRI-MU crop price projections reflects information available in mid-November 2014. Microsoft Excel November 2014 Tables: supply and use tables and prices for U.S. crops.


October 16, 2014

October 2014 U.S. Crop Price Update

This monthly update of FAPRI-MU crop price projections reflects information available in mid-October 2014.  Microsoft Excel October 2014 Tables: supply and use tables and prices for U.S. crops.


September 14, 2014

September 2014 U.S. Crop Price Update

This is the first monthly update of FAPRI-MU crop price projections, reflecting information available in mid-September 2014.  Microsoft Excel November 2014 Tables: supply and use tables and prices for U.S. crops


August 28, 2014

August 2014 Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets

This report serves as a mid-year update to the 2014 baseline prepared in January 2014. It reflects market developments and incorporates information available in early August 2014.


March 13, 2014

U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

This report presents a summary of 10-year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income and a variety of other indicators.


2013

August 27, 2013

August 2013 Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets

This report serves as a mid-year update to the 2013 baseline prepared in January 2013. It reflects market developments and incorporates information available in early August 2013.


March 13, 2013

FAPRI-MU Biofuel Baseline

This report presents a summary of ten year projections for U.S. ethanol, biodiesel, RIN, and related feedstock markets.


March 08, 2013

U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.

Microsoft Excel tables, including historical data, for crops, biofuels, and aggregate indicators.


2012

August 28, 2012

August 2012 Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets

This report serves as a mid-year update to the 2012 baseline prepared in January 2012. It reflects market developments and incorporates information available in early August 2012.


May 10, 2012

U.S. Biofuels Baseline and Impact of E-15 Expansion on Biofuels Markets

This report provides more detail on the baseline projections released in March for the biofuel sector in the U.S. It also includes an analysis of the implications for the sector of different paths of E-15 use.


March 05, 2012

FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.


2011

August 25, 2011

FAPRI-MU August 2011 Baseline Update for US Agricultural Markets

This report serves as a mid-year update to the 2011 FAPRI baseline prepared in January 2011. It reflects market developments and incorporates information available in early August 2011.


June 27, 2011

FAPRI U.S. Biofuels Baseline and Impact of Extending the $0.45 Ethanol Blenders Credit

This report compares a baseline where biofuel tax credits and the ethanol tariff expire on schedule to a scenario where the $0.45 per gallon ethanol blenders credit and $0.54 per gallon ethanol tariff are extended indefinitely.


March 31, 2011

US Baseline Breifing Book: Missouri Insert

FAPRI-MU Report #03-11


March 07, 2011

FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.

FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book: Missouri Insert


2010

August 20, 2010

FAPRI-MU August 2010 Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets

This report serves as a mid-year update to the 2010 FAPRI baseline prepared in January 2010. It reflects market developments and incorporates information available in early August 2010.


May 22, 2010

FAPRI U.S. Biofuels Baseline Briefing Book

This report is an addendum to the FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing book providing additional detail on biofuel and Renewable Identification Number (RIN) markets in the ten year baseline projections and biofuel credits and tariff expiration scenario released previously.


March 12, 2010

FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book: Missouri Insert

This report provides a detailed analysis of projections for Missouri agriculture and should be used in conjunction with the 2010 US Baseline Briefing Book (FAPRI-MU Report #01-10).


March 09, 2010

FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.


2009

August 18, 2009

FAPRI August 2009 Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets

This document serves as a mid-year update to the 2009 FAPRI baseline prepared in January 2009. It reflects market developments and incorporates estimate information available in early August 2009.


March 11, 2009

FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book: Missouri Insert

This report provides a detailed analysis of projections for Missouri agriculture and should be used in conjunction with the 2009 US Baseline Briefing Book (FAPRI-MU Report #01-09).


March 05, 2009

FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.


2008

September 03, 2008

Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets

This document serves as a mid-year update to the 2008 FAPRI baseline prepared in January 2008. It reflects market developments and incorporates estimate information available in early August 2008.


April 23, 2008

Baseline Outlook – Missouri Representative Farms

This report presents a five-year outlook for the set of 38 Missouri representative farms using the FAPRI 2008 U.S. Baseline.


March 05, 2008

FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.


2007

September 12, 2007

Missouri Representative Farms- Mid-Year Baseline Outlook

This is an abbreviated, mid-year report containing updated financial tables and risk graphs for Missouri Representative Farms.


August 16, 2007

Baseline Update for Us Agricultural Markets

This document serves as a mid-year update to the 2007 FAPRI baseline prepared in January 2007. It reflects market developments and incorporates estimate information available in early August 2007.This report examines the impacts of the commodity provisions of the legislation introduced by U.S. Representative Ron Kind entitled the “Food and Agriculture Risk Management for the 21st Century Act of 2007.”


April 10, 2007

Baseline Outlook- Missouri Representative Farms

This report presents a five-year outlook for the set of 38 Missouri representative farms using the FAPRI 2007 U.S. Baseline.


March 06, 2007

FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and the wide ranging implications of the growth in biofuel production.


2006

July 18, 2006

FAPRI July 2006 Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets

This report presents a summary of the five-year baseline outlook update for major U.S. agricultural commodity markets.


May 01, 2006

Baseline Outlook for Missouri Representative Farms 2006-2010

This report presents a five-year outlook for the set of 36 Missouri representative farms using the FAPRI 2006 U.S. Baseline.


April 28, 2006

FAPRI 2006 U.S. Stochastic Baseline- A View of 500 Alternative Futures

This report supplements the FAPRI 2006 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book by including the distributions of over 540 projected variables.


March 02, 2006

FAPRI 2006 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

This report presents a summary of ten-year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets providing information about the outlook for agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.


2005

December 08, 2005

FAPRI 2006 Outlook for Missouri Agriculture

This report presents the outlook for Missouri agricultural markets in 2006.


September 14, 2005

Fertilizer and Fuel Outlook for Fall 2005

As producers begin to review their balance sheets after harvest, many will find the squeeze of not only lower commodity prices, but substantially higher costs. This fall outlook summarizes costs for 2005 and provides insight into anticipated costs for 2006.


August 26, 2005

FAPRI August 2005 Baseline Update for US Agricultural Markets

Five-year projections for U.S. crop and livestock markets, based on information available in August 2005.


August 26, 2005

Mid-Year Farm Level Outlook for Missouri Represetnative Farms

This report presents an updated five-year outlook for the set of 40 Missouri representative farms using the FAPRI August 2005 Baseline.


April 25, 2005

Baseline Outlook for Missouri Representative Farms 2005-2009

This report presents a five-year outlook for the set of 40 Missouri representative farms using the FAPRI 2005 U.S. Baseline.


March 16, 2005

FAPRI 2005 U.S. Baseline Brieifing Book

This report presents a summary of ten-year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets providing information about the outlook for agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.



2004

April 01, 2004

Baseline Outlook for Missouri Representative Farms 2004-2008

Missouri farms show financial improvement.


March 01, 2004

FAPRI 2004 Baseline Briefing Book

This report presents a summary of ten-year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets providing information about the outlook for agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.


March 01, 2004

FAPRI 2004 Outlook for Missouri Agriculture

This report presents a summary of ten-year baseline projections for Missouri agricultural markets.


2003


March 31, 2003

Baseline Outlook for Missouri Representative Farms, 2003-2007

This report presents a five-year outlook for Missouri representative farms under provisions of the Food Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002.



2002

2001

June 01, 2001

Missouri Representative Farms Financial Projections

FAPRI-MU Report #04-01 is an estimate of financial risk on individual Missouri representative farms in future years.


May 01, 2001

FAPRI-Ireland 2001 EU Baseline Briefing Book

FAPRI-MU TDR #04-01


April 01, 2001

FAPRI 2001 Outlook for Missouri Agriculture

FAPRI-MU TDR #02-01 was presented to the Missouri House of Representatives, Committee on Agriculture, Jefferson City, MO, by Gary Adams and Scott Brown.


February 01, 2001

FAPRI 2001 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

FAPRI-MU TDR #01-01 is a baseline projection for the agricultural economy using a very specific set of assumptions. The baseline serves as a benchmark for analyzing alternative policies.


2000

September 01, 2000

The Outlook for US Crops: September 2000

FAPRI-MU TDR #07-00 includes foreign grain production and consumption as well as supply, export or import, and stocks vs. farm price for corn, soybeans and wheat in the decade 1990-2000.


February 08, 2000

FAPRI 2000 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book

FAPRI-MU TDR #02-00


1999

December 06, 1999

Rainbow Book: A Summary of the November 1999 FAPRI Baseline

FAPRI-MU TDR #12-99