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FAPRI MU Reports

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2014

March 13, 2014
U.S. Baseline Briefing Book (59 pages, 703 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #02-14 This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income and a variety of other indicators.

February 24, 2014
Biomass-based Diesel Policy Options: Larger RFS Requirements and Tax Credit Extension (17 pages, 455 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #01-14 This report analyzes the potential biofuel, crop and feedstock market impacts of two policy options related to biomass-based diesel: i) an increase in the biomass-based diesel requirement for the Renewable Fuel Standard; ii) an extension of the biodiesel blenders tax credit.

2013

December 30, 2013
Renewable Fuel Standard Waiver Options for 2014 and Beyond (16 pages, 618 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #07-13 This report analyzes a range of Renewable Fuel Standard waiver options in light of the EPA’s 2014 Proposed Rulemaking and presents estimated impacts on selected biofuel, crop, and feedstock markets.

October 1, 2013
Impacts of Selected Provisions of the House and Senate Farm Bills (32 pages, 537 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #06-13 This report summarizes analysis of selected crop program provisions of farm bills approved by the U.S. House and Senate.

September 17, 2013
Analysis of the Asymmetric Price Transmission in the Ukrainian Wheat Supply Chain (36 pages, 450 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #05-13 This report analyzes price transmission along the Ukrainian wheat supply chain from January 2005 until December 2012 and identifies potential market and policy failures that could lead to different levels of price transmission.

August 27, 2013
August 2013 Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets (16 pages, 468 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #04-13 This report serves as a mid-year update to the 2013 baseline prepared in January 2013. It reflects market developments and incorporates information available in early August 2013.

April 29, 2013
Implied RIN Prices for E85 Expansion and the Effects of a Steeper Blend Wall (11 pages, 497 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #03-13 This report considers how the blend wall interacts with the Renewable Fuel Standard using calculated RIN prices that could make higher-blend ethanol sales profitable and model simulations of market impacts associated with a steeper blend wall.

March 13, 2013
FAPRI-MU Biofuel Baseline (11 pages, 457 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #02-13 This report presents a summary of ten year projections for U.S. ethanol, biodiesel, RIN, and related feedstock markets.

March 8, 2013
U.S. Baseline Briefing Book (53 pages, 664 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #01-13 This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.
    Microsoft Excel tables (278 kb), including historical data, for crops, biofuels, and aggregate indicators

2012

December 6, 2012
A Question Worth Billions: Why Isn’t the Conventional RIN Price Higher? (17 pages, 459 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #12-12 The Renewable Fuel Standard could require more ethanol use. Accounting exercises presented here suggest that it is difficult to stay within the blend wall and meet the mandate through 2015 under a variety of assumptions.

October 4, 2012
Renewable Fuel Standard Waiver Options during the Drought of 2012 (20 pages, 512 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #11-12 The 2012 drought has caused higher crop prices, leading to requests for biofuel use mandates to be waived. This report provides analysis of waiver options that would reduce domestic biofuel use requirements.

September 7, 2012
FAPRI Beginning Farmer and Rancher Development Project – West Central Feedgrain Representative Farm Final Report (8 pages, 424 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #10-12 This serves as a final report for the West Central Feedgrain beginning representative farm. It includes a description of how the panel members' operations have changed and the resulting change in the representative farm over the three years of the project. It also includes a five-year financial outlook of the updated representative farm.

September 7, 2012
FAPRI Beginning Farmer and Rancher Development Project – Southwest Missouri Cow/Calf Representative Farm Final Report (8 pages, 427 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #09-12 This serves as a final report for the Southwest Missouri Cow/Calf beginning representative farm. It includes a description of how the panel members' operations have changed and the resulting change in the representative farm over the three years of the project. It also includes a five-year financial outlook of the updated representative farm.

September 7, 2012
FAPRI Beginning Farmer and Rancher Development Project – Northeast Feedgrain and Cow/Calf Representative Farm Final Report (8 pages, 431 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #08-12 This serves as a final report for the Northeast Feedgrain and Cow/Calf beginning representative farm. It includes a description of how the panel members' operations have changed and the resulting change in the representative farm over the three years of the project. It also includes a five-year financial outlook of the updated representative farm.

September 7, 2012
FAPRI Beginning Farmer and Rancher Development Project – North Central Feedgrain and Cow/Calf Representative Farm Final Report (8 pages, 431 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #07-12 This serves as a final report for the North Central Feedgrain and Cow/Calf beginning representative farm. It includes a description of how the panel members' operations have changed and the resulting change in the representative farm over the three years of the project. It also includes a five-year financial outlook of the updated representative farm.

August 28, 2012
August 2012 Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets (14 pages, 208 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #06-12 This report serves as a mid-year update to the 2012 baseline prepared in January 2012. It reflects market developments and incorporates information available in early August 2012.

August 28, 2012
Impacts of Selected Provisions of the House Agriculture Committee and Senate Farm Bills (30 pages, 335 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #05-12 This report summarizes analysis of selected program crop provisions of the farm bills approved by the U.S. House Committee on Agriculture and the U.S. Senate. It also corrects an accounting error in the original report.
          Original report issued August 17, 2012 (30 pages, 529 kb)

July 31, 2012
EPA and RFS2: Market Impacts of Biofuel Mandate Waiver Options (35 pages, 338 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #04-12 This report provides analysis of options to set the biodiesel mandate and to handle broader mandates if the cellulosic biofuel mandate continues to be waived in the future.

May 30, 2012
Impacts of Selected Provisions of the “Agriculture Reform, Food and Jobs Act of 2012” (23 pages, 283 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #03-12 This report provides analysis of selected provisions of the farm bill approved by the U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry on April 26, 2012.

May 10, 2012
U.S. Biofuels Baseline and Impact of E-15 Expansion on Biofuel Markets (16 pages, 384 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #02-12 This report provides more detail on the baseline projections released in March for the biofuel sector in the U.S. It also includes an analysis of the implications for the sector of different paths of E-15 use.

March 5, 2012
FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book (68 pages, 810 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #01-12 This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.

2011

November 18, 2011
Model documentation for biomass, cellulosic biofuels, renewable and conventional electricity, natural gas and coal markets (31 pages, 352 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #12-11 This report documents newly developed or revised models representing biomass use for electricity and biofuel, natural gas, coal, and electricity markets in the United States.

November 18, 2011
Competition for biomass among renewable energy policies: Liquid fuels mandate versus renewable electricity mandate (25 pages, 278 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #11-11 This report uses FAPRI-MU models representing US biomass, natural gas, coal, and electricity markets to estimate possible impacts of a federal Renewable Portfolio Standard on these markets, as well as on agricultural and biofuel markets.

August 25, 2011
FAPRI-MU August 2011 Baseline Update for US Agricultural Markets (13 pages, 217 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #10-11 This report serves as a mid-year update to the 2011 FAPRI baseline prepared in January 2011. It reflects market developments and incorporates information available in early August 2011.

July 21, 2011
FAPRI-MU Stochastic U.S. Crop Model Documentation (167 pages, 523 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #09-11 This report includes documentation of the U.S. crop stochastic modeling system from the 2011 baseline.

June 29, 2011
Potential Impacts of Eliminating Direct Payments (14 pages, 231 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #08-11 This report estimates possible impacts of eliminating the direct payment program on budgetary outlays, commodity markets and farm income.

June 27, 2011
FAPRI U.S. Biofuel Baseline and impact of extending the $0.45 ethanol blenders credit (15 pages, 331 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #07-11 This report compares a baseline where biofuel tax credits and the ethanol tariff expire on schedule to a scenario where the $0.45 per gallon ethanol blenders credit and $0.54 per gallon ethanol tariff are extended indefinitely.

June 16, 2011
The Value of the 2011 Crop Production Loss from the Birds Point-New Madrid Floodway Levee Breach (6 pages, 546 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #06-11 This report includes the analysis of the Lost 2011 Crop Production From the Birds Point-New Madrid Floodway Levee Breach.

May 26, 2011
New Challenges in Agricultural Modeling: Relating Energy and Farm Commodity Prices (53 pages, 574 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #05-11 This report examines the relationship between energy and agricultural markets and how policy and biofuel production influence this relationship within the FAPRI modeling framework.

March 7, 2011
FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book (68 pages, 682 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #02-11 This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.
     FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book: Missouri Insert (11 pages, 558 kb)

March 1, 2011
The Economic Impact of the Dairy Market Stabilization Program on 2009 Dairy Markets (11 pages, 372 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #04-11. The Dairy Market Stabilization Program (DMSP) is one part of the National Milk Producers Federation’s Foundation for the Future Program. This analysis shows the impact that DMSP operation would have had on the dairy industry during the low margin period of 2009.
     Appendix Table: Effects of DMSP on 2009 Dairy Product Markets (1 page, 75.8 kb)

January 28, 2011
WTO Domestic Support Measures: How Accounting Rules and Market Circumstances Matter (26 pages, 307 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #01-11WTO negotiations could lead to new commitments to limit domestic agricultural support. The report shows how the implications of a new agreement for U.S. farm programs could be sensitive to accounting rules and market circumstances.

2010

December 18, 2010
FAPRI Beginning Farmer and Rancher Development Project - Online Decision Making Tools Summary (130 pages, 9.33 mb)
FAPRI-MU Report #16-10 This report summarizes online decision tools available at no cost to producers. The tools include production or input costs, returns, compare econmic impacts, or assist in making financial decisions.

December 4, 2010
FAPRI Beginning Farmer and Rancher Development Project - West Central Feedgrain Representative Farm (12 pages, 365 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #14-10 This report includes characteristics of the farm, baseline results, and alternative scenarios run.

December 4, 2010
FAPRI Beginning Farmer and Rancher Development Project - North Central Feedgrain and Cow/Calf Representative Farm (12 pages, 546 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #13-10 This report includes characteristics of the farm, baseline results, and alternative scenarios run.

December 4, 2010
FAPRI Beginning Farmer and Rancher Development Project - Northeast Feedgrain and Cow/Calf Representative Farm (10 pages, 578 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #12-10 This report includes characteristics of the farm, baseline results, and alternative scenarios run.

December 4, 2010
FAPRI Beginning Farmer and Rancher Development Project - Southwest Missouri Cow/Calf Representative Farm (10 pages, 186 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #11-10 This report includes characteristics of the farm, baseline results, and alternative scenarios run.

September 20, 2010
The Effect of Adopting California Fluid Milk Standards in the United States (12 pages, 491 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #07-10This report analyses the effects on U.S. dairy markets of implementing California fluid milk standards nationwide.

September 10, 2010
Crop Insurance: Background Statistics on Participation and Results (30 pages, 448 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #10-10Crop insurance has increased in importance relative to many other farm programs. The report provides background information on crop insurance participation and results in response to requests from the offices of Senator Claire McCaskill and Representative JoAnn Emerson.

September 1, 2010
FAPRI-MU US Biofuels, Corn Processing, Distillers Grains, Fats, Switchgrass, and Corn Stover Model Documentation (113 pages, 823 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #09-10 This report includes documentation of the deterministic modeling system for Biofuels, Corn Processing, Distillers Grains, Fats, Switchgrass, and Corn Stover as of March 1, 2010.

August 20, 2010
FAPRI-MU August 2010 Baseline Update for US Agricultural Markets (13 pages, 202 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #08-10 This report serves as a mid-year update to the 2010 FAPRI baseline prepared in January 2010. It reflects market developments and incorporates information available in early August 2010.

July 9, 2010
Impacts of Climate Change Legislation on US Agricultural Markets: Sources of Uncertainty (51 pages, 435 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #06-10 The report summarizes analysis of possible impacts of climate change legislation on US agricultural markets.

June 25, 2010
Analysis of NMPF's Foundation for the Future Program (11 pages, 365 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #05-10 There are four major policy changes considered in this analysis: 1) Elimination of the Dairy Product Price Support Program (DPPSP), 2) Elimination of the Milk Income Loss Contract (MILC) program, 3) Introduction of the Dairy Producer Margin Protection Program (DPMPP) and 4) Introduction of the Dairy Market Stabilization Program (DMSP).

May 22, 2010
FAPRI U.S. Biofuel Baseline Briefing Book (10 pages, 275 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #04-10 This report is an addendum to the FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing book providing additional detail on biofuel and Renewable Identification Number (RIN) markets in the ten year baseline projections and biofuel credits and tariff expiration scenario released previously.

March 12, 2010
FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book: Missouri Insert (15 pages, 1.30 mb)
FAPRI-MU Report #02-10 This report provides a detailed analysis of projections for Missouri agriculture and should be used in conjunction with the 2010 US Baseline Briefing Book (FAPRI-MU Report #01-10).

March 9, 2010
FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book (70 pages, 1.01 mb)
FAPRI-MU Report #01-10 This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.

2009

September 30, 2009
The Effect Of NASDA’S “Meat The Need Proposal” On Livestock And Dairy Markets (6 pages, 107 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #08-09 Quarterly analysis of NASDA’s proposal to purchase meat and dairy products.

September 1, 2009
Renewable Identification Number Markets: Draft Baseline Table (6 pages, 192 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #07-09 This report gives a preliminary look at how FAPRI-MU RIN market projections could be represented as supply and use tables.

August 18, 2009
FAPRI August 2009 Baseline Update for US Agricultural Markets (13 pages, 433 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #06-09 This document serves as a mid-year update to the 2009 FAPRI baseline prepared in January 2009. It reflects market developments and incorporates estimate information available in early August 2009.

July 13, 2009
The Effect of Higher Energy Prices from H.R. 2454 on Missouri Crop Production Costs (12 pages, 586 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #05-09 This report incorporates higher energy prices estimated by CRA International under H.R. 2454 on Missouri crop production costs.

May 29, 2009
Impacts of Selected US Ethanol Policy Options (51 pages, 381 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #04-09 Analysis of eleven biofuel policy options prepared in response to a request from five Members of Congress.

March 11, 2009
FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book: Missouri Insert (15 pages, 803 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #02-09 This report provides a detailed analysis of projections for Missouri agriculture and should be used in conjunction with the 2009 US Baseline Briefing Book (FAPRI-MU Report #01-09).

March 5, 2009
FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book (70 pages, 832 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #01-09 This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.

2008

January 14, 2009
Causes and Implications of the Food Price Surge (53 pages, 1.93 mb)
FAPRI-MU Report #12-08 This paper analyzes the food price surge of 2005 to 2008 in order to better understand the factors causing higher and more volatile food prices during this period, to ascertain the relative importance and possible persistence of the different factors, and to suggest possible implications for future market behavior and policy reactions.

November 26, 2008
State Support for Ethanol Use and State Demand for Ethanol Produced in the Midwest (32 pages, 675 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #11-08 This study examines US demand for ethanol produced in the Midwest and assesses how state policies that target ethanol demand affect biofuel and agricultural commodity markets.

September 16, 2008
Upper White River Watershed Integrated Economic and Environmental Management Project (110 pages, 9.96 mb)
FAPRI-MU Report #9-08 This report outlines enhanced existing local cooperative water quality efforts, sumarizes economic and physical data, and discusses how that information was used to develop analytical models.

September 3, 2008
Baseline Update for US Agricultural Markets (16 pages, 278 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #10-08 This document serves as a mid-year update to the 2008 FAPRI baseline prepared in January 2008. It reflects market developments and incorporates estimate information available in early August 2008.

July 16, 2008
Model of the US Ethanol Market (25 pages, 402 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #07-08 This report estimates the effects of public policy options and external conditions on ethanol and agricultural commodity markets, farm income and government costs.

July 14, 2008
The Food, Conservation and Energy Act of 2008: Preliminary Analysis of Selected Provisions (16 pages, 370 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #08-08 This report provides preliminary analysis of impacts of selected Food, Conservation and Energy Act of 2008 (FCEA) provisions.

June 12, 2008
Biofuels: Impact of Selected Farm Bill Provisions and other Biofuel Policy Options (71 pages, 694 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #06-08 This report examines the implications for biofuel and agricultural markets of changes in biofuel use mandates, tariffs and tax credits.
Press Release: 6-13-08

May 15, 2008
Update: A Farm-level Economic Analysis of Wildlife Habitat Buffers in Missouri (11 pages, 199 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #05-08 This is an update to the FAPRI-MU Report #23-07. It incorporates updated commodity prices and changes in program payments.

April 23, 2008
Baseline Outlook - Missouri Representative Farms (24 pages, 680 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #04-08 This report presents a five-year outlook for the set of 38 Missouri representative farms using the FAPRI 2008 U.S. Baseline.

March 5, 2008
FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book (72 pages, 905 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #03-08 This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators.

February 28, 2008
National Policy Efforts by Commodity and General Farm Organizations (46 pages, 1.30 mb)
FAPRI-MU Report #02-08 This report provides background information for major US agricultural commodities, comparative statistics for nine US commodity and general farm organizations, as well as emerging themes related to interviews with each of the organizations related to how policy is pursued.

January 10, 2008
The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007: Preliminary Evaluation of Selected Provisions (28 pages, 372 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #01-08 The “Energy Independence and Security Act (EISA) of 2007” was signed into law in December 2007. This report provides a snapshot of estimated impacts of selected provisions of EISA on biofuel and agricultural markets.

2007

December 31, 2007
Evaluating Economic and Environmental Benefits of Soil and Water Conservation Measures Applied in Missouri
FAPRI-MU Report #31-07 This study used a combination of methods to evaluate the value of Missouri’s Department of Natural Resources (MODNR) conservation programs for the affected regional economies.

November 29, 2007
Crop Production Cost and Outlook
FAPRI-MU Report #15-07 This report explains how the general trend of production input price inflation will continue during the 2008 crop year. It provides price increase information on seeds, fertilizer, building materials and more.

November 15, 2007
Impact of a Lock Failure on Commodity Transportation on the Mississippi or Illinois Waterway (20 pages, 1.05 mb)
FAPRI-MU Report #30-07 This in-depth study for the Illinois Chamber of Commerce determines the economic impact of lock failures on the Illinois and Upper Mississippi Rivers.

November 07, 2007
Impacts of Selected Title I Provisions of the Senate Committee Farm Bill (20 pages, 304 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #14-07 This report examines selected provisions of Title I of the “Food and Energy Security Act of 2007,” as approved by the Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry.

September 12, 2007
Missouri Representative Farms - Mid-Year Baseline Outlook (25 pages, 1.46 mb)
FAPRI-MU Report #29-07 This is an abbreviated, mid-year report containing updated financial tables and risk graphs for Missouri Representative Farms.

August 21, 2007
A Farm-level Economic Analysis of Wildlife Habitat Buffers in Missouri (16 pages, 254 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #23-07 This study estimates the financial outcome of participation in Habitat Buffers for Upland Birds for three representative farms over a ten year period.

August 16, 2007
Baseline Update for US Agricultural Markets (16 pages, 1,151 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #28-07 This document serves as a mid-year update to the 2007 FAPRI baseline prepared in January 2007. It reflects market developments and incorporates estimate information available in early August 2007.This report examines the impacts of the commodity provisions of the legislation introduced by U.S. Representative Ron Kind entitled the “Food and Agriculture Risk Management for the 21st Century Act of 2007.”

July 23, 2007
Impacts of the Commodity Provisions of the Food and Agriculture Risk Management for the 21st Century Act of 2007(FARM 21) (24 pages, 376 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #26-07 This report examines the impacts of the commodity provisions of the legislation introduced by U.S. Representative Ron Kind entitled the “Food and Agriculture Risk Management for the 21st Century Act of 2007.”

June 26, 2007
Impacts of a 15 Billion Gallon Biofuel Use Mandate (36 pages, 393 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #22-07 This report examines the impacts of requiring a minimum of 15 billion gallons of biofuel use by 2015.

June 19, 2007
Impacts of Changes in Direct Payment Rates, Target Prices and Loan Rates 2007 Farm Bill Proposal ( 24 pages, 421 kb)
FAPRI-MU Report #21-07 This report examines several proposals that would maintain the current structure of farm programs, but adjust direct payment rates, target prices and loan rates.

June 13, 2007
Missouri Representative Farms - Farm Level Impacts of Three Commodity Title Provisions in the Administration’s 2007 Farm Bill Proposal ( 9 pages, 143 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #18-07 This report explains the farm level impacts that three of the provisions from the Administration's 2007 farm bill may have on Missouri representative farms.

June 12, 2007
Calculating Agricultural Use Values for Missouri Farmland ( 29 pages, 591 kb)
Excel Spreadsheet: Calculating Agricultural Use Values for Missouri Farmland, October 2007 ( 353 kb)
PowerPoint: 2007 Missouri Agricultural Use Values, October 2007 ( 137 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #16-07 This report provides the background necessary to show that agricultural use values should reflect the expected future stream of returns generated by the land and discounted to current dollars.

June 5, 2007
Impacts of Linking Wheat Countercyclical Payments to Prices for Classes of Wheat ( 9 pages, 312 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #19-07 This report examines a proposal to change the way in which wheat countercyclical payments are calculated, in response to a Congressional request.

June 4, 2007
Economic Impacts of Not Extending Biofuels Subsidies ( 26 pages, 369 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #17-07 This study uses a stochastic model to analyze the impact of not extending the ethanol tax credit, the ethanol import tariff, or the $1.00 per gallon biodiesel tax credit on the biofuels and agricultural commodity markets.

May 18, 2007
Effect of the National Milk Producers Federation Proposal for the 2007 Farm Bill on the US Dairy Sector ( 11 pages, 321 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #10-07 This is FAPRI’s analysis on two provision of the National Milk Producers Federation farm bill package. Specifically, only the milk producer security program and changes made to the dairy product price support program are covered.

May 14, 2007
Impacts of Three Provisions in the Administration’s 2007 Farm Bill Proposal ( 27 pages, 541 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #11-07 This report explains the impacts that three of the provisions from the Administration's 2007 farm bill may have.

May 2, 2007
Impacts of a National Association of Wheat Growers Proposal for the 2007 Farm Bill ( 12 pages, 533 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #08-07 A national commodity group proposal is evaluated by FAPRI in relation to the 2007 stochastic baseline for U.S. agricultural markets.

April 16, 2007
Issues Surrounding a B5 State Mandate in Missouri ( 6 pages, 49.9 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #03-07 John Kruse and Seth Meyer. This report presents a background of diesel consumption and soy-diesel production in Missouri. Two possible profitability scenarios are presented which assume alternative combinations of bio-diesel and soybean oil prices with three possible alternatives related to countercyclical payments, fixed funding, and payment limits on mandated quantities.

April 10, 2007
Baseline Outlook - Missouri Representative Farms ( 52 pages, 990 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #04-07 This report presents a five-year outlook for the set of 38 Missouri representative farms using the FAPRI 2007 U.S. Baseline.

March 29, 2007
Returns to Biofuel Production ( 28 pages, 303 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #06-07 The biofuel industry is transforming US agriculture. Rapid expansion of ethanol and biodiesel production has contributed to higher prices for corn, soybean oil, and a wide range of other agricultural commodities.

March 6, 2007
FAPRI U.S. Baseline Briefing Book ( 70 pages, 1.14 mb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #02-07 This report presents a summary of ten year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and the wide ranging implications of the growth in biofuel production.

March 2, 2007
Estimating Water Quality, Air Quality, and Soil Carbon Benefits of the Conservation Reserve Program ( 76 pages, 5.11 mb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #01-07 This report estimates how field and buffer practices affect the amount of soil and nutrients leaving the field.

2006

December 31, 2006
Missouri Watershed Water Quality Initiative ( 39 pages, 2.85 mb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #22-06 Final Report for EPA Grant CG000225.

September 25, 2006
Expected Impact of Agricultural Nonpoint Sources Special Land Treatment (AgNPS-SALT) Projects
This set of reports describes the computer based evaluation of 6 AgNPS-SALT projects in Missouri and assesses the use of SWAT as an evaluation tool. The analyses estimate nutrient, sediment, and pesticide loading reductions for each project.
     Upper and Lower Big Maries River Watersheds ( 45 pages, 234 kb)
     FAPRI-UMC Report #06-06 Computer Based Evaluation of the AgNPS-SALT Project
     Flat Creek Watershed ( 31 pages, 229 kb)
     FAPRI-UMC Report #13-06 Computer Based Evaluation of the AgNPS-SALT Project
     Jenkins Basin Watershed ( 33 pages, 313 kb)
     FAPRI-UMC Report #16-06 Computer Based Evaluation of the AgNPS-SALT Project
     Miami Creek Watershed ( 42 pages, 253 kb)
     FAPRI-UMC Report #16-06 Computer Based Evaluation of the AgNPS-SALT Project
     Final Report ( 23 pages, 496 kb)
     FAPRI-UMC Report #19-06 Computer Based Evaluation of the AgNPS-SALT Project
      Long Branch Lake Watershed( 43 pages, 208 kb)
     FAPRI-UMC Report #20-06 Computer Based Evaluation of the AgNPS-SALT Project

August 29, 2006
Analysis of Barley Market Developments and Policy Options ( 33 pages, 295 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #15-06 Pat Westhoff. Analysis of barley issues prepared in response to a request from Senators Crapo, Conrad, Dorgan, and Craig and Representatives Simpson, Otter, and Pomeroy.

August 29, 2006
Fertilizer and Fuel Outlook for Fall 2006 ( 6 pages, 57.4 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #14-06 Lori Wilcox. This report highlights production costs related to energy based resources with a particular focus on variable costs for fuel and fertilizer. This provides preliminary estimates regarding prices paid by farmers for inputs for 2006 in addition to a short-term outlook.

July 18, 2006
FAPRI July 2006 Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets ( 12 pages, 108 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #12-06 This report presents a summary of the five-year baseline outlook update for major U.S. agricultural commodity markets.

June, 2006
Little Sac River Watershed - Fecal Coliform Total Maximum Daily Load ( 95 pages, 1.69 MB)
FAPRI-UMC Report #11-06 This report describes the water quality data and the model that were used to develop the bacteria total maximum daily load of the Little Sac River in Greene and Polk counties. It is the final TMDL report sent to EPA by the Missouri Department of Resources and approved by EPA on August 9, 2006.

June 14, 2006
Mississippi River Research Conclusions Executive Summary ( 17 pages, 312 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #10-06 John Kruse and Seth Meyer. Briefing paper requested by Senator Bond detailing the conclusions from the Mississippi River research to date.

June 7, 2006
Wheat Policy Options: Implications for U.S. Agriculture ( 32 pages, 612 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #09-06 Pat Westhoff. Analysis of farm bill wheat policy options in response to a request from Senators Crapo and Baucus and Representatives Musgrave and Pomeroy.
Companion Report:
     Agricultural and Food Policy Center at Texas A&M University

May 4, 2006
Predicting the Acceptance for High Beta-Carotene Maize: An Ex-Ante Estimation Method ( 22 pages, 216 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #07-06 Monika Tothova and William H. Meyers. This paper postulates a household decision model that takes into account the production consumption tradeoffs between traditional and biofortified seed. The objective is to understand the effect of these differing traits on the adoption decision when white maize is preferred by the consumers.

May 1, 2006
Baseline Outlook for Missouri Representative Farms 2006-2010 ( 52 pages, 389 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #03-06 Brent Carpenter, Peter Zimmel and Scott Gerlt. This report presents a five-year outlook for the set of 36 Missouri representative farms using the FAPRI 2006 U.S. Baseline.

April 28, 2006
FAPRI 2006 U.S. Stochastic Baseline – A View of 500 Alternative Futures ( 558 pages, 4.96 mb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #05-06 This report supplements the FAPRI 2006 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book by including the distributions of over 540 projected variables.

April 19, 2006
Fertilizer and Fuel Outlook for Spring 2006 ( 4 pages, 34.2 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #04-06 Lori Wilcox. This report compares fertilizer and fuel prices for this spring to comparative prices for the past four years for major field crops. In addition, it provides insight into the outlook for this summer and into the prices paid index from FAPRI’s 2006 Baseline

April 6, 2006
FAPRI Ethanol Briefing Materials for Congressman Peterson ( 9 pages, 132 kb)
Addendum - Biofuel Conversion Factors ( 1 page, 11.9 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #02-06 Pat Westhoff. This report summarizes information about ethanol markets and margins for ethanol producers under a continuation of current farm and energy policies.

March 2, 2006
FAPRI 2006 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book ( 64 pages, 531 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #01-06 This report presents a summary of ten-year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets providing information about the outlook for agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators

2005

December 8, 2005
FAPRI 2006 Outlook for Missouri Agriculture (12 pages, 154 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #17-05 This report presents the outlook for Missouri agricultural markets in 2006.

December 14, 2005
Potential Impacts on U.S. Agriculture of the U.S. October 2005 WTO Proposal (35 pages, 151 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #16-05 Analysis requested by Senator Saxby Chambliss of the October 2005 U.S. WTO proposal.
Companion Reports:
     Agricultural and Food Policy Center at Texas A&M University
     Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute at Iowa State University

December 2, 2005
Impacts of Commodity and Conservation Reserve Program Provisions in House and Senate Reconciliation Bills (8 pages, 94.1 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #15-05 FAPRI analysis of provisions in House and Senate FY 2006 reconciliation bills that would change existing agricultural commodity and conservation reserve program policies.

October 12, 2005
Impact on Missouri Agriculture of the Recent Gulf Coast Hurricanes (10 pages, 479 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #14-05 Missouri agriculture is being hit in two ways from the recent Gulf coast hurricanes. A combination of higher input costs and lower output prices will certainly squeeze the bottom line for Missouri agriculture as we enter 2006.

September 14, 2005
Fertilizer and Fuel Outlook for Fall 2005 (3 pages, 32.2 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #13-05 Lori Wilcox. As producers begin to review their balance sheets after harvest, many will find the squeeze of not only lower commodity prices, but substantially higher costs. This fall outlook summarizes costs for 2005 and provides insight into anticipated costs for 2006.

August 26, 2005
Mid-Year Farm Level Outlook for Missouri Representative Farms, 2005-2009 (25 pages, 213 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #12-05 Brent Carpenter and Peter Zimmel. This report presents an updated five-year outlook for the set of 40 Missouri representative farms using the FAPRI August 2005 Baseline.

August 26, 2005
FAPRI August 2005 Baseline Update for U.S. Agricultural Markets (12 pages, 883 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #11-05 Five-year projections for U.S. crop and livestock markets, based on information available in August 2005.

August 22, 2005
Implications of Increased Ethanol Production for U.S. Agriculture (63 pages, 601 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #10-05 FAPRI analysis indicates that increased ethanol production resulting from the Energy Policy Act of 2005 will have important effects on markets for corn and other crops, government farm program costs, and net farm income.

June 14, 2005
Interpretation of Long-term Trade Projections: China’s Role in Forecast Discrepancies and its Impact on Expectations for World Agricultural Trade (14 pages, 104 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #09-05 Seth Meyer, James Hansen and William Meyers

June 10, 2005
Little SAC River Watershed - Bacterial Source Tracking Analysis (39 pages, 1.55 mb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #06-05 Claire Baffaut, Charles A. Carson, and Wendi Rogers

April 25, 2005
Baseline Outlook for Missouri Representative Farms 2005-2009 (55 pages, 402 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #05-05 Brent Carpenter and Peter Zimmel. This report presents a five-year outlook for the set of 40 Missouri representative farms using the FAPRI 2005 U.S. Baseline.

April 7, 2005
Fuel and Fertilizer Outlook for Spring 2005 (4 pages, 67.7 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #04-05 The energy impact on U.S. agriculture is evident in spring prices for fertilizer and fuel, and in some areas, tighter supplies have slowed the pace of land preparation a bit for Missouri farmers.

March 23, 2005
The President’s Budget: Implications of Selected Proposals for U.S. Agriculture (42 pages, 203 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #03-05 The report presents estimates of impacts on U.S. production, prices, producer returns, government costs, and net farm income resulting from two proposals in the President’s budget, a 5 percent cut in payments and a limitation on production eligible for loan program benefits.

March 16, 2005
FAPRI 2005 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book (62 pages, 650 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #02-05 This report presents a summary of ten-year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets providing information about the outlook for agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators

February 2, 2005
FAPRI 2005 Outlook for Missouri Agriculture ( 25 pages, 669 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #01-05 - Daniel Madison, Scott Brown, Pat Westhoff, Lori Wilcox

2004

December, 2004
Documentation of the FAPRI Modeling System ( 238 pages, 1.16 mb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #12-04 - FAPRI Staff - Equation specifications and selected elasticities for FAPRI models of U.S. agriculture.

September 23, 2004
Implications Of Minimum Summer Water Releases From Gavins Point For Power Plants ( 18 pages, 75.0 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #11-04 - John R. Kruse, Abner Womack, Seth Meyer

September 20, 2004
Fertilizer and Fuel Prices and Cost of Production ( 3 pages, 43.8 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #10-04 - Lori Wilcox - The near term outlook for fertilizer and diesel prices would tend to support modest increases in costs from last year in addition to the potential for added volatility in the market. Analyzing these potential impacts on overall farm production expenses has been one of the recent focuses for FAPRI.

July 20, 2004
The FAPRI-University of Pretoria Collaboration:
Final Report for the University of Missouri South African Education Program (16 pages, 663 kb)

FAPRI-UMC Report #07-04 - FAPRI Staff: Patrick Westhoff, Julian Binfield, Brent Carpenter, William Meyers, Peter Zimmel. University of Pretoria Staff: Ferdinand Meyer, Michela Cutts, Johann Kirsten, Khambuzile Mampane, Thandeka Mhlabang, PG Strauss, Ghian du Troit

July 8, 2004
Testimony on the Value of the Mississippi River for U.S. Agriculture:
Presented to the Mississippi River Caucus Washington D.C. (9 pages, 2.17 mb)

FAPRI-UMC Briefing Paper #06-04 - John R. Kruse

July 6, 2004
Briefing Paper on the Upper Mississippi and Illinois Rivers Transportation Corridors:
Grain Transportation Rates and Associated Market Area (22 pages, 694 kb)

FAPRI-UMC Briefing Paper #05-04 - Steve Fuller and Tun-Hsiang Yu, Texas A&M University

July 1-4, 2004
CAP Reform and the WTO: Potential Impacts on EU Agriculture (22 pages, 60 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #08-04 - Julian Binfield, Trevor Donnellan, Kevin Hanrahan, Chad Hart, and Patrick Westhoff - Selected Paper prepared for presentation at the American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, Denver, Colorado

June, 2004
Analysis of the Conservation Reserve Enhancement Program in the Long Branch Lake Watershed (24 pages, 2.49 mb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #06-04 - D. Todd Farrand - CREP will reduce non-point source pollution loads to streams, but may not significantly improve water quality in the reservoir.

June, 2004
Grain Transportation and Marketing Channels (13 pages, 368 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Briefing Paper #04-04 - Seth Meyer

June, 2004
The Upper Mississippi and Illinois Rivers:
Value and Importance of these Transport Arteries for U.S. Agriculture (7 pages, 300 kb)

FAPRI-UMC Briefing Paper #03-04

June, 2004
Briefing Paper on the Demand for U.S. Commodity Exports and the Mississippi River:
Past and Future (11 pages, 332 kb)

FAPRI-UMC Briefing Paper #02-04 - John R. Kruse, Seth Meyer, Abner Womack and Willi Meyers

May, 2004
Briefing Paper on the “Worst Case” Implications of Low Missouri River Flows For Power Plants (2 pages, 282 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Briefing Paper #01-04 - John R. Kruse

April 23, 2004
Estimated Value of Barge Freight Rates for Commodities Shipped on the Missouri River and Implied Freight Savings (6 pages, 77 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #05-04 - This report presents a survey to ascertain the economic value of barge traffic/freight rates on the river relative to alternative transportation

April 23, 2004
Implications of Alternative Missouri River Flows for Power Plants (16 pages, 96 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #04-04 - This paper discusses the potential impacts of low Missouri River flows on power plants

March, 2004
FAPRI 2004 Outlook for Missouri Agriculture (24 pages, 260 kb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #02-04 - This report presents a summary of ten-year baseline projections for Missouri agricultural markets

April, 2004
Baseline Outlook for Missouri Representative Farms 2004-2008 (40 pages, 300 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #03-04 - Peter Zimmel and Brent Carpenter. Missouri farms show financial improvement

March 17, 2004
Influence of Missouri River on Power Plants and Commodity Crop Prices (6pages, 43 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #02-04 - John Kruse. When summer releases from Gavins Point fall below minimum navigation levels some power plants experience losses in efficiency. Changes in local prices due to changes in Missouri River navigation, impact all production in the region, not just that which is transported via the river

March, 2004
FAPRI 2004 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book (58 pages, 1 mb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #01-04 This report presents a summary of ten-year baseline projections for U.S. agricultural markets providing information about the outlook for agricultural markets, farm program spending, farm income, and a variety of other indicators

February 4, 2004
Upper Shoal Creek Watershed: Water Quality Analysis (73 pages, 1,787 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #01-04 - Claire Baffaut. FAPRI, with significant input from the local community, has developed this analysis defining how current agricultural practices in the upper Shoal Creek Watershed affect water quality

2003

September 9, 2003
Analysis of the 2003 CAP Reform Agreement (16 pages, 132 kb)
FAPRI Staff Report #02-03: At the request of Congressman Stenholm, FAPRI analyzed the reforms of the EU Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) that were approved in June 2003

June 26, 2003
FAPRI-Ireland 2003 EU Baseline Briefing Book (44 pages, 265 kb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #10-03

August 16-22, 2003
Reforming the CAP: A Partial Equilibrium Analysis of the MTR Proposals (12 pages, 56 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #08-03: Julian Binfield, Patrick Westhoff, Robert Young II. Contributed paper selected for presentation at the 25th International Conference of Agricultural Economists, August 16-22, 2003, Durban, South Africa

June 24, 2003
FAPRI Analysis of Stricter Payment Limitations: Additional Information (3 pages, 155 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #06-03: At the request of Senator Grassley, this note presents additional information about the impact of stricter payment limits.

June 17, 2003
FAPRI Analysis of Stricter Payment Limitations (15 pages, 316 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #05-03: Document in support of the testimony given by Pat Westhoff to the Commission on the Application of Payment Limitations in Washington, DC

April 2003
The Effect on the United States Dairy Industry of Removing Current Federal Regulations (14 pages, 165 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #03-03:This analysis by Scott Brown provides a forward-looking examination (2003-2012) of what the dairy industry may look like if each of several federal dairy regulations is removed

April 2003
Implications of the 2002 U.S. Farm Act for World Agriculture (16 pages, 100 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #02-03: This paper by John Kruse discusses the implications of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 for U.S. agriculture and its subsequent impact on world agricultural prices and world trade

March 31, 2003
Baseline Outlook for Missouri Representative Farms, 2003-2007 (39 pages, 204 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #01-03: This report by Brent Carpenter, Peter Zimmel and Joe Trujillo presents a five-year outlook for Missouri representative farms under provisions of the Food Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002

March 2003
FAPRI 2003 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book (56 pages, 1 mb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #04-03

2002

November 2002
Baseline Outlook for Missouri Representative Farms, 2002-2006 (40 pages, 204 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #08-02

July 2002
FAPRI 2002 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book (49 pages, 1 mb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #02-02

July 11, 2002
Financial Analysis of Missouri Broiler-Beef Farms (8 pages, 337 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #07-02

May 2002
FAPRI-Ireland 2002 EU Baseline Briefing Book (31 pages, 523 kb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #01-02

May 6, 2002
Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002: Preliminary FAPRI Analysis (4 pages, 21 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #05-02

April 11, 2002
FAPRI Analysis of Dairy Policy Options for the 2002 Farm Bill Conference (6 pages, 38 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #04-02

February 13, 2002
FAPRI's Analysis of the Modified Domenici Dairy Amendment to S. 1731 (5 pages, 37 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #03-02

February 12, 2002
FAPRI's Analysis of the Domenici Dairy Amendment to S.1731 (5 pages, 38 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #02-02

January 30, 2002
Regional Implications of the Current Senate Farm Bill Dairy Provisions (3 pages, 27 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #01-02

2001

December 21, 2001
Farm Level Economic Analysis of the Grain, Oilseed, and Cotton Provisions of the Proposed Senate Farm Bill (S. 1731) On Missouri Representative Farms (20 pages, 106 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #20-01

December 11, 2001
FAPRI's Analysis of the Dairy Provisions of the Senate Agriculture Committee's Substitute Amendment to S. 1731 (5 pages, 41 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #19-01

November 30, 2001
Analysis of the Grain, Oilseed, and Cotton Provisions of the Agriculture, Conservation, and Rural Enhancement Act of 2001 - S. 1731 (16 pages, 121 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #18-01

November 21, 2001
The Impact of Alternative Pooling Arrangements Under the Dairy Provisions of the Senate Agriculture Committee Farm Bill (3 pages, 12 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #17-01: Scott Brown. This paper looks at how funds would transfer to the various districts if such districts were able to choose different levels of participation in the program analyzed in the October 30 document below

July - November, 2001
Positive Approaches to Phosphorus Balancing in Southwest Missouri: Animal Manure Phosphorus Recycling Initiative (14 pages, 548 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #16-01: Document presented on July 12, 2001 at Crowder College, Neosho, MO and on November 6 & 7 at Water Quality Research in the White River Basin Conference in Springfield, MO

October 2001
Impacts of Additional Food Aid Allocations (17 pages, 107 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #15-01: - Gary Adams. This analysis builds on an earlier work (see FAPRI-UMC Report #13-01 below). In this study, the impacts of additional amounts of international food aid of soybeans and products, wheat and rice are compared to the results from the ethanol and biodiesel scenario.

November 6, 2001
Fertilizer Use in Southern Missouri (15 pages, 513 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #14-01: Document presented at the White River conference in Springfield, MO and written by Joseph V. Slater and D. Todd Farrand.

November 1, 2001
FAPRI's Analysis of the EPA's Proposed CAFO Regulations (62 pages, 488 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #06-01

October 2001
Impacts of Increased Ethanol and Biodiesel Demand (17 pages, 122 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #13-01: Gary Adams. This analysis examines the impacts of increased usage of corn and soybean oil for the purposes of producing ethanol and biodiesel, respectively.

October 2001
Analysis of NFU's Loan Rate Provisions and a Farmer-Owned Reserve Program (21 pages, 96 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #12-01

September 28, 2001
The Potential Increase in the Amber Box Calculation Under S. 1157 (3 pages, 26 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #11-01

September 2001
State-Level Direct Payments and Marketing Loan Benefits Under H.R. 2646 (6 pages, 43 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #10-01

August 2001
Analysis of the Grain, Oilseed, and Cotton Provisions of the Agricultural Act of 2001, H.R. 2646 (15 pages, 67 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #09-01: Gary Adams

August 6, 2001
Farm Level Economic Analysis of the Grain, Oilseed, and Cotton Provisions of the Proposed House Farm Bill (H.R. 2646) on Missouri Representative Farms (20 pages, 111 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #08-01: Peter Zimmel

July 30, 2001
Financial Impact of Proposed CAFO Regulations on Representative Broiler Farms (6 pages, 752 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #07-01

July 17, 2001
Preliminary Analysis of the Grain, Oilseed, and Cotton Provisions of the House Committee on Agriculture's Draft Farm Bill Concept Paper (17 pages, 78 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #05-01

June 2001
Missouri Representative Farms Financial Projections (143 pages, 6.36 mb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #04-01: An estimate of financial risk on individual Missouri representative farms in future years

May 2001
FAPRI-Ireland 2001 EU Baseline Briefing Book (59 pages, 324 kb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #04-01: Prepared by Julian Binfield, Trevor Donnellan, Kevin Hanrahan, Kieran McQuinn, Pat Westhoff and Robert Young II

May 2001
Analysis of the NAWG Policy Option (34 pages, 438 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #03-01: Prepared at the request of Senator Larry Craig, Senator Max Baucus, Representative Mike Simpson, and Representative Earl Pomeroy

Feburary 2001
FAPRI 2001 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book (58 pages, 425 kb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #01-01: A baseline projection for the agricultural economy using a very specific set of assumptions. The baseline serves as a benchmark for analyzing alternative policies

Feburary 2001
FAPRI Environmental Projects 2000 (30 pages, 9,936 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #02-01

April 2001
FAPRI 2001 Outlook for Missouri Agriculture (21 pages, 670 kb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #02-01: Presented to the Missouri House of Representatives, Committee on Agriculture, Jefferson City, MO, by Gary Adams and Scott Brown

January 2001
Exploring Options for a New Farm Bill (18 pages, 81 kb)
Gary Adams and James Richardson. Invited Paper for the Southern Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, Ft. Worth, TX

2000

December 2000
Newton and McDonald Counties Contract Broiler Representative Farm (70 pages, 542 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #08-00

November 2000
Preliminary Assessment of Counter-cyclical Payment (CCP) Options (8 pages, 25 kb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #09-00: Prepared at the request of the Commission on 21st Century Production Agriculture

September 2000
The Outlook for US Crops: September 2000 (12 pages, 339 kb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #07-00: Includes foreign grain production and consumption as well as supply, export or import, and stocks vs. farm price for corn, soybeans and wheat in the decade 1990-2000

September 2000
FAPRI Short-term Livestock Outlook (10 pages, 28 kb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #06-00: FAPRI-Missouri Livestock Update includes short-term supply and utilization outlook for U.S. beef, pork and poultry. Quarterly outlook remains positive for cattle; hog production to expand in 2001

July 2000
The 1-2-3 Scenarios: An Analysis of Safety Net Alternatives (48 pages, 198 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #07-00: Prepared at the request of Representative Charles Stenholm. An analysis of the impacts of three safety net alternatives, (1) A Modified Supplemental Income Payment (MSIP) program, (2) Increased marketing loan rates (LR), and (3) Direct payments in the form of Market Loss Assistance (MLA) payments

April 2000
Impacts of Increased Marketing Loan Rates (17 pages, 113 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #03-00: Prepared at the request of Representative Earl Pomeroy. Analyzes two scenarios of alternative marketing loan rates. In the first scenario (Pomeroy #1), the loan rate for soybeans is increased. Under the second scenario (Pomeroy #2), loan rates for oilseeds are maintained at current levels, while rates for grains and cotton are increased.

April 27, 2000
Impacts of WTO Restrictions on Subsidized EU Sugar Exports (13 pages, 138 kb)
Daneswar Poonyth, Patrick Westhoff, Abner Womack and Gary Adams. Published in Agricultural Economics 22 (2000): 233-245. Reprints available by mail from FAPRI.

February 2000
FAPRI Analysis of CAP Reform in the Agenda 2000 Final Decisions (13 pages, 354 kb)
FAPRI-Iowa State and FAPRI-Missouri: Published in Agenda 2000 CAP Reform Decisions: Impact Analyses by Directorate-General for Agriculture of the European Commission. Link to text in PDF format at European Commission web site, or request reprint.

January 12, 2000
The Outlook for U.S. Agriculture: Prices, Pressures, and Distributions (13 pages, 119 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #01-00: Presentation examining Missouri farm debt-to-asset ratios, short-term agricultural market outlook, and the distribution of farm income.

1999

December 1999
Rainbow Book: A Summary of the November 1999 FAPRI Baseline (605 pages, 1.8 mb)
FAPRI-UMC TDR #12-99

August 1999
Farms Impacted by Payment Limitations on Loan Deficiency Payments and Marketing Loan Gains (14 pages, 33 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #14-99: General characteristics of farming operations that will most likely hit payment limits on LDPs and marketing loan gains.

August 1999
FAPRI Analysis of the Flexible Fallow Program (12 pages, 49 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #13-99:

Appendix Tables for FAPRI Analysis of the Flexible Fallow Program (30 pages, 117kb)
Proposed as an addition to existing legislation, Flexible Fallow would give producers the option to voluntarily idle a portion of their acreage in exchange for higher loan rates on their remaining production.

August 1999
Analysis of Loan Outlays for the 1999 Crop Under Alternative Loan Rate Formulas (5 pages, 20 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #12-99: The analysis estimates the increase in government outlays that would result from increasing 1999 commodity loan rates.

June 1999
Analysis of a Continuation of the 1990 Farm Bill with 23% NFA (8 pages, 55 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #10-99:

Appendix Tables for Analysis of a Continuation of the 1990 Farm Bill with 23% NFA (21 pages, 71 kb)
Impact analysis of extending a modified version of the 1990 Farm Bill measured against the FAPRI 1999 U.S. Agricultural Outlook, which incorporates provisions of the 1996 Federal Agriculture Improvement and Reform (FAIR) Act.

June 1999
Trend Yield Analysis and Yield Growth Assumptions (18 pages, 107 kb)
FAPRI-UMC Report #06-99: Discusses the formulation of assumptions pertaining to yield growth in the crop sector used in developing market projections.

January 1999
Environmental Analysis of Cameron & Grindstone Watersheds, Missouri (36 pages)
FAPRI-UMC Report #03-00: This document is available upon request from FAPRI's publication department.

 
   

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